Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1275.076853 1454.221058 1654.974885 1897.640621 2184.377056 2514.049317 2924.147288
2025-07-27 1017.264441 1253.860125 1545.298513 1935.035099 2449.177969 3113.632911 4052.852174
2025-08-03 877.282141 1135.567741 1473.555588 1956.597568 2643.189381 3606.106917 5099.450182
2025-08-10 793.816545 1069.417670 1448.505094 2021.456444 2889.840035 4198.756442 6407.008594
2025-08-17 722.211849 1005.672142 1412.147441 2056.392749 3088.630001 4746.958132 7767.012778
2025-08-24 660.277186 945.845306 1370.323058 2071.690598 3252.443392 5262.351218 9192.331763
2025-08-31 608.372243 893.615425 1331.401308 2082.448042 3405.457947 5782.325155 10755.778268
2025-09-07 570.232411 857.498524 1311.895307 2119.887185 3607.007330 6424.302526 12735.232674
2025-09-14 517.842064 793.055267 1238.769025 2054.066098 3608.143650 6681.776153 13966.609786
2025-09-21 473.490048 737.274794 1173.785639 1993.363991 3607.476002 6932.286679 15251.774745
2025-09-28 433.303032 684.741012 1108.907428 1924.250584 3578.434521 7115.685837 16427.887056
2025-10-05 419.576698 675.618108 1118.298026 1995.387073 3844.997928 8000.285039 19712.822777
2025-10-12 398.270695 652.388758 1101.752896 2017.382078 4019.436945 8733.175213 22930.739342
2025-10-19 380.461240 633.911340 1092.286443 2053.012342 4232.585476 9619.264132 27021.378066
2025-10-26 362.904501 614.196154 1078.208152 2076.673869 4421.981655 10493.415160 31498.709773
2025-11-02 352.209370 606.082913 1085.366048 2146.306798 4734.425636 11786.653729 38150.529770
2025-11-09 338.793450 591.637112 1078.476261 2183.864204 4974.538688 12946.119523 45006.264624
2025-11-16 324.316540 573.934767 1063.233703 2200.309337 5163.424949 14010.137214 52170.965822
2025-11-23 310.547140 556.500976 1046.846834 2211.875179 5341.912978 15098.954633 60232.579233
2025-11-30 300.407623 545.435302 1042.691406 2252.134371 5609.125673 16573.939628 71377.449761
2025-12-07 281.561391 515.506823 995.696791 2181.362498 5542.663968 16863.363437 76458.206325
2025-12-14 264.650739 488.432571 952.790091 2116.124175 5482.391297 17165.047745 81921.109431
2025-12-21 248.293021 461.496975 908.201180 2041.881370 5383.178210 17298.164076 86547.828913